Comments on: Majority of Californians support marriage equality

By: customartist

customartist — Fri, 26 Mar 2010 14:34:49 +0000

Mormons (non-Californians) will no-doubt dump copious amounts of cash into each and every other initiative via NOM.
Where is the Political Practices investigation? What are the Commission’s responsibilities here?

By: customartist

customartist — Fri, 26 Mar 2010 14:24:37 +0000

The Mormon Church will have to raize more cash!

By: John

John — Fri, 26 Mar 2010 11:54:23 +0000

I agree with Lynn, the trend is nice but we probably need at least 4 more years before we’ll be able to reverse Prop 8. Once the anti-gay machine starts up during a repeal effort we’ll need more than a bare majority in the polls to cross the finish line in triumph because we’re bound to lose a couple of points to scare tactics.

By: cd

cd — Fri, 26 Mar 2010 08:26:21 +0000

There were plenty of other pollings of California on this subject by e.g. Field Poll, SurveyUSA, and others.

As I recall, consensus support percentage for gay marriage legalization found in those polls in aggregate after adjusting for systematic biases:

2006: 46%
2007: 47%
2008: 48% (48.3% ‘no’ vote on Prop. 8)
2009: 49%

50% in 2010 seems about right. As would be 52% in 2012.

By: Lynn David

Lynn David — Fri, 26 Mar 2010 03:47:13 +0000

Give it four years….

By: JoeBro

JoeBro — Fri, 26 Mar 2010 01:37:49 +0000

These polls always show that there are 25 – 30% of people who believe that gay people should be allowed to fight and die for other people’s rights as long as they don’t dare ask for them for themselves when they get home from combat.

By: Mark F.

Mark F. — Fri, 26 Mar 2010 01:29:47 +0000

Well, if you understand statistics you will know not to place too much confidence in one poll. Maybe attitudes have changed, but maybe this poll just represents a normal statistical variation and there has really been no real change of opinion.

I suspect the marriage ban can get repealed in 2012, but it will be close.

By: Keppler

Keppler — Fri, 26 Mar 2010 01:13:24 +0000

I wouldn’t get my hopes up about this poll. The question is not how many voters support same-sex marriage, the question is how many voters can be bothered to actually vote in an election to repeal Prop. 8. My experience with progressives in CA is that, while they’re not the “Party of No,” they are the party of “Not My Problem, Who Cares?”.

By: Rob in San diego

Rob in San diego — Fri, 26 Mar 2010 01:08:39 +0000

I don’t buy this report until you count every single Californian. Cause I guarantee you that not one person I know who voted YES had changed their vote to NO.

By: Priya Lynn

Priya Lynn — Thu, 25 Mar 2010 23:45:20 +0000

I don’t recall any polls being out by 10 points on election day, five maybe.