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HIV Infections Actually Remained Flat Between 2005 and 2006

Jim Burroway

March 29th, 2008

We’ve already mentioned that the so-called fifty percent “spike” in HIV Infections between 2005 and 2006 was the result of more states reporting HIV infections to the CDC, not because there was an actual increase in infections in one short year. In fact, we’ve reported on the CDC’s new reporting requirements back last November. Once we remove the new states from the CDC’s count of HIV Infections, we find that there truly wasn’t an increase. HIV infections appeared to have remained approximately flat:

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s (CDC) newly published 2006 HIV/AIDS Surveillance Report estimates that there were 52,878 new cases of HIV in 2006. This is a 49 percent increase over the 35,537 cases estimated for 2005, however, the increase is largely due to the fact that the CDC used data from seven additional states in 2006 compared with 2005. If you remove the states not included in the 2005 estimates from the 2006 estimates, the number of HIV cases drops to 34,878, a 2 percent decrease between 2005 and 2006.

I wonder how long it will be before someone ignores all the caveats from the CDC and jumps on the “spike” bandwagon.  Start your stopwatches… now.

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