Polls are looking good

Timothy Kincaid

October 1st, 2012

There is more than a month to go and polls on marriage seem to overestimate support. However, the latest round of polls should give us tentative encouragement.

Maine: (Morning Sentinel)

The referendum proposal to legalize same-sex marriage in Maine leads 57 percent to 36 percent in the poll, with 7 percent saying they are undecided.

The 21-percentage point lead is almost identical to the findings of the June poll. It is a larger lead than was measured by three other recent polls, although the differences are within the polls’ margins of error.

Maryland: (Baltimore Sun)

Five weeks before the election, a measure to legalize same-sex marriage in Maryland has seen a surge of support and is now favored by likely voters, 49 percent to 39 percent, a new Baltimore Sun poll has found.

A high black turnout was a prospect once viewed with trepidation by proponents of same-sex marriage. In March, an OpinionWorks poll found less than a third of African-Americans supported the measure.

Since then, however, there’s been a dramatic shift in the attitudes of black voters, according to the new Sun poll. It found more than half of likely black voters favor legalizing same-sex marriage, compared with a quarter who are opposed.

Minnesota:

The latest is about a week old but it is a virtual tie with 49% favoring the ban and 47% opposed.

Washington: (Washington United)

According to the KING 5/Survey USA poll of 524 Likely Voters from Sept. 7 through Sept. 9, 56% of those surveyed would vote to approve Referendum 74 while 38% would vote to reject. The poll has a margin of error of 4.3%.

tim

October 1st, 2012

Considering that ‘non-votes’ for amendments in Minnesota count as “no” votes – there may be a chance to defeat it in Minnesota. A small chance – but a chance neverless.

Doug

October 1st, 2012

MN will be the toughest one for our side to win. Best to send donations there.

James E Ashburn III

October 2nd, 2012

Why are we even discussing this? Who cares what the polls say. We should re-focus our energy on OPPOSING the fact that our rights are put up for a vote in the first place!! This should not even be allowed on the ballot. Period. Do not participate in the discussion.

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