Bad news for Lonegan

Timothy Kincaid

October 10th, 2013

Today brings some very bad news for former Bogota Mayor Steve Lonegan, who is running as the Republican candidate for US Senate in New Jersey’s special election next week.

No, it’s not that he’s 12 points behind Newark Mayor Corey Booker (D). Actually Lonegan’s been whittling away at what was once a large advantage for Booker.

It’s not that New Jersey is a blue state in registration and state representative. After all Chris Christie is trampling all over his Democratic opponent.

No, today’s bad new is that the National Organization for Marriage is gloriously declaring that Lonegan can win. And they are throwing their support behind him. (NOMblog)

I’m talking about the US Senate special election in New Jersey next week. Marriage, life, and family values are on the ballot in New Jersey one week from yesterday on October 16th — and every marriage champion across the country can play a part to make sure those values come out on top.

Next Wednesday voters in New Jersey need to make a special effort to get out and vote for the only US Senate candidate who will protect and promote marriage, life, and family on the national stage — Steve Lonegan.

…All the polls show that momentum is with Lonegan, meaning by this time next week it could well be a dead heat.

What will push Steve — and marriage, life, and family — over the top?

Well, I suppose that something could. It’s possible, of course.

But we all know what happens when NOM gets behind your campaign.

Sir Andrew

October 10th, 2013

I wouldn’t mind pushing Lonegan, and all the idiots from NOM, over the top. Though I suspect I may mean that a bit differently than they do. In fact, we have some great cliffs right here in Hawaii that would be perfect for this.


October 10th, 2013

Never doubt the effect on voter turnout of a special election on an odd day. With the true believers pumped, Lonegan CAN win.


October 10th, 2013

“What will push Steve — and marriage, life, and family — over the top?”

A large donation to NOM, of course!

Secret Advocate

October 10th, 2013

Don’t be overconfident.

Remember that the special election to fill Ted Kennedy’s Senate seat in Massachuetts in 2010 was not on anyone’s radar screens even one month before it occurred — until Scott Brown rocketed past Martha Coakley’s comically inept campaign.

I recognize that the vote in New Jersey is less than a week away, but, as Soren456 said, don’t minimize the effect of the hard-core voters in a low-turnout election.


October 11th, 2013

It’s nothing like Mass. by any means.


October 11th, 2013

I agree with Secret Advocate that low turn-out special elections can be unpredictable. But it really would be nuts to have a Booker lose this election. The Dem machine in New Jersey is pretty formidable and its hard to imagine voters are going to send an avowed Tea Party supporter to DC with this shutdown tanking Repub favorably ratings.

Secret Advocate

October 11th, 2013

I should say that I think that Cory Booker will win the election. The Real Clear Politics average of polls has him comfortably ahead.

I was just a bit troubled, however, by the snark before the election results. Karma, folks.

I certainly don’t want any New Jersey Democrats to assume that the election is assured and stay home. As I indicated before, in the run-up to the special Senate election in Massachusetts in 2010, the assumption was that whoever had a “D” next to his or her name would win in a walk. Martha Coakley, literally, went on vacation in the midst of the campaign.

Recently, in a different context, Thomas Friedman of the New York Times quoted what he said was an Arab proverb: “If you burn you tongue once when eating soup, you’ll blow on your yogurt for the rest of your life.” Once bitten, twice shy.


October 16th, 2013

And it’s official, per CNN- Booker wins.

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